Paint The Black

Baseball and Beyond

Down To The Crossroads

with 7 comments

Happy Hanukkah, Merry Christmas Eve

Well the legend of  Clint Frazier continues to  grow as Jon Heyman and  NJ.com report Cashman has shot down any Jose Quintana trade with the White Sox

According to Jon Heyman of Fan Rag Sports, the Yankees “don’t want to part” with either of their top two position player prospects, outfielder Clint Frazier and shortstop Gleyber Torres.

So not only does Clint Frazier have to live up  to  the Andrew Miller stigma, you can  add Jose Quintana to the bulls eye Frazier will wear  if Cashman is indeed keeping him out of any proposals for Quintana

This isn’t the first time Cashman has hugged his prospects, David Adams and Eduardo Nunez are the first  two  that  come to mind.. Adams was protected on the 40 man instead of Quintana in 2012, and the White Sox picked him up.. Soon after he jumped from  Double A to  the Chicago SouthSide varsity…. Nice move Cash…

Nunez was a deal  breaker in the potential  Cliff Lee trade a few years back, Cashman refused to include him in the trade.. Consequently  Lee ended up in Texas, while Nunez bombed in NY, spent two  and a half years in Minnesota, and last year  landed in San Francisco  at the deadline.

  At the moment Cashman’s hands are tied, the new CBA agreement has made it imperative teams like the Yanks at least re-set their Lux Tax clock, or find themselves potentially being fined 90% for going over a $40M limit

The important thing to know here is the 42.5 percent tax rate, for example, is only on the dollars spent beyond the $40 million already above the threshold. So if the threshold is $195 million and a team spends $236 million, a potential 92.5 percent tax rate is applied only to the $1 million over $235 million, not the entire $41 million over the threshold.

With a potential 2018 / 19 Free Agent bonanza on the horizon, and the glaring need for Star power in NY, Cashman  will need as much salary flexibility as he can get..

One reason I thought trading for Quintana and his team  friendly contract made sense, the Yanks would lose Tanaka’s money 3 yr’s for $67M when he opts out, and replace it

with Quintana’s 4 yr’s $35.35M

17:$6M, 18:$8.35M, 19:$10.5M club option ($1M buyout), 20:$10.5M club option ($1M buyout)

Unfortunately the Yanks are not quite ready to unload the  top shelf prospects, especially Frazier and / or Torres who project to be core players under team  control  for minimum 6 years.. Also in the rumor were Mateo and Severino

At the moment I’d rather keep  all  the kids, Quintana’s asking price is designed to  cater to  a Win Now ball club, like the Astros who have a young core in place, plus core pieces knocking on the varsity door..

Down To The Crossroads

crossroads

With Quintana presumed out of the mix, the Yanks will continue to  focus on  Plan A:

Tanaka, Pineda, Sabathia as the top  3, Cessa, Severino, Mitchell, Green and Warren are the 4 pitchers fighting for the last two  chairs in the rotation

Cashman Re: Severino

“If you evaluate his entire pro career, last year is the abnormality,” the New York Yankees GM said. “If you turn the clock back and don’t include those last six months, then he was one of the high-end projected starters in the game, with production to boot, in a pennant race.”

Translation: Severino will be 23 yr’s old on February 20th, he has a very live arm, and he will continue to get a chance at becoming a rotation piece

Ace hurlers, unless you got lucky (Sale, Bumgarner)  are starting to  trend into  the $30M AAV category.

Yes relief pitching has started to enter a higher tax bracket, as they become more useful in high leverage situations..

Of course over the 162 marathon  season, you need starters to  eat quality innings, or you’re gonna get a steady diet of  Thousand Dollar Cars like Shane Greene, David Phelps, Esmil Rogers, Vidal Nuno, Chase Whitley, and Chris Capuano, starting 6o  to  70 of your 162 game schedule (see 2015)

If the Yanks want to  stay under the escalating Lux Tax cap they’ll need to develop some 180  to  200 inning quality starters.. Severino per Cashman  has that potential

“He still possesses all that upside and ceiling, but obviously he will have to re-prove that in 2017 to earn a spot in the rotation at the major league level,” Cashman said. “If not, the expectation is that he would go to Triple-A.”

That pretty much kills any idea of a Super Pen with Severino  joining Warren,  Clippard Betances and Chappy.. At 23 yr’s of age the Yanks will give this kid a chance to re- learn his fast ball command, per Larry Rothschild that  was his biggest nemesis in 2016, not his MIA change-up

Cashman  also talked up Cessa and Mitchell

 Cashman described Cessa, 24, as a “plug-and-play-type guy,” meaning the Yankees feel confident his four-pitch repertoire will be primed to begin the season. He could be a serviceable fifth starter, and perhaps something more.

Mitchell, like Severino, has upside. He was cruising toward a spot on the Opening Day roster last spring when a toe injury cost him most of the year.

“He was probably one of the best arms going in the state of Florida, forgetting our camp,” Cashman said. “He was throwing extremely well.”

Mitchell, 25, showed more potential at the end of the season, with a 3.38 ERA in five starts.

Yanks Rotation Source

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Written by Sal

December 24, 2016 at 7:01 am

Posted in Uncategorized

7 Responses

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  1. Mikey 2 Chins always had a man crush on Yoan Moncada, he was downright upset when the Red Sox got him and the Yanks didn’t

    M2C even turned a blind eye to the fact, in 20 MLB PA’s Moncada went 4 for 19 with 12 K’s, 9 of the 12 came in his last 9 AB’s

    We get it, small sample size, pedigree anointment from M2C’s guru Keith Law, looks like central casting in an MLB uniform, all the fluff stuff was in place

    Except Moncada was being blocked by Pedroia at 2nd base, and Benintendi in LF, not to mention Fenway Twiggy the skinny Pablo Sandoval was back to prove he’s not the big Asshole who stole $95M from 1 percenter John Henry’s coffers..

    So Moncada who didn’t exactly make you forget Brooks Robinson at third base was a man with no position in Boston, a Win Now Team

    Anyway M2C has a fun article listing a bunch of top prospects who like Moncada were traded, and how the result panned out

    http://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/heres-how-trading-six-elite-moncada-level-prospects-turned-out-for-their-teams/

    Sal

    December 24, 2016 at 7:25 am

  2. Sal

    December 24, 2016 at 10:03 am

  3. Call me crazy, but I don’t want to part with Frazier or Torres in a deal for Quintana either.
    Everything I’ve read or seen of these guys screams “can’t miss special player”

    And, it’s been SO LONG since the Yanks have developed position players.
    For those reasons, I’m willing to roll the dice on these guys & hopefully get rewarded big time.
    If not, I’ll be in hiding with Michael Corleone in Palermo!!

    Mosconebailbonds

    December 24, 2016 at 12:54 pm

  4. Prayin for Mel- last effective Pitching Coach we had ( Nova?)
    KEEP the Kids !!!! Homegrown is always better than mail order,,
    I like signing big names as much as George did but we have a chance at a newer core of Yankees,, roll da dice Chief !!
    Happy and Merry Sal and all ya’ll
    https://www.youtube.com/shared?ci=LeRNSXfvmNY

    bubbaband

    December 24, 2016 at 2:47 pm

    • Same to you Donny, and yes send out some good vibes to Mel

      Sal

      December 25, 2016 at 7:13 am

  5. Sal

    December 25, 2016 at 7:53 am


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